Figure 5.
An illustrative example of a coalescent tree for four samples (eight haplotypes). Given a value at the root, A in this example, and a mutation from A to C in this example, we can infer genotypes for the four samples and, hence, compute the probability of data D conditional on this configuration. We estimate the likelihood of D given a tree t, p(D | t), by summing over all possible root values and mutations in t.
